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Red387
2471203.0
2557185.4
1778155.7
Blue328
2046218.0
1425207.6
6445139.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373350200250300400450500550600387328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203.00.4
202.0202.4
Auto21.4
Teleop143.2
End37.5
blue by 14.9
218.00.1
217.7217.8
Auto25.2
Teleop162.6
End29.8
Second
185.40.5
184.2184.7
Auto22.3
Teleop142.0
End23.1
blue by 22.1
207.60.3
208.4208.1
Auto20.6
Teleop146.5
End39.1
Third
1778
#31
155.70.0
155.9155.8
Auto17.6
Teleop124.1
End12.0
red by 16.2
6445
#46
139.50.1
139.4139.5
Auto16.3
Teleop111.5
End12.6