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Red275
2910211.6
3223144.1
3238148.2
Blue416
4513189.0
1318203.5
2976157.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3413810100200300500600700800275416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2910
#12
211.60.2
211.4211.6
Auto20.9
Teleop161.3
End27.1
red by 8.2
203.50.0
203.7203.7
Auto23.3
Teleop146.1
End33.7
Second
3238
#42
148.20.4
148.7148.2
Auto24.3
Teleop104.0
End17.8
blue by 40.7
4513
#10
189.00.1
189.4189.3
Auto21.8
Teleop138.3
End26.1
Third
144.10.5
143.6144.1
Auto20.8
Teleop110.9
End11.9
blue by 13.7
2976
#38
157.90.2
157.6157.8
Auto19.6
Teleop123.7
End11.1