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Red435
2471203.0
2557185.4
1778155.7
Blue301
2811193.8
5468151.0
6831161.7
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424290100200500600700435301

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203.00.5
199.9200.5
Auto21.4
Teleop143.2
End37.5
red by 9.2
2811
#48
193.80.2
194.0193.8
Auto22.3
Teleop154.2
End18.3
Second
185.40.6
181.9182.6
Auto22.3
Teleop142.0
End23.1
red by 23.7
6831
#21
161.70.2
161.5161.7
Auto20.2
Teleop119.2
End27.6
Third
1778
#31
155.70.0
155.8155.8
Auto17.6
Teleop124.1
End12.0
red by 4.7
5468
#11
151.00.6
150.4151.0
Auto18.7
Teleop113.4
End21.3