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Red454
2471203.0
2557185.4
1778155.7
Blue140
4911180.6
4488186.4
2990180.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions407330200300500600454140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203.00.5
200.5201.0
Auto21.4
Teleop143.2
End37.5
red by 16.6
186.40.5
185.3185.8
Auto22.2
Teleop132.1
End33.6
Second
185.40.6
182.6183.1
Auto22.3
Teleop142.0
End23.1
red by 4.5
2990
#39
180.90.4
181.3180.9
Auto29.5
Teleop138.5
End9.0
Third
1778
#31
155.70.0
155.8155.8
Auto17.6
Teleop124.1
End12.0
blue by 24.8
4911
#15
180.60.2
180.3180.6
Auto20.3
Teleop137.4
End22.7