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Quarterfinal 1-12018 Pacific Northwest District Championship
Red485
2471203.0
2557185.4
1778155.7
Blue226
2811193.8
5468151.0
6831161.7
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions419295100200500600700485226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2471
#8
203.00.5
199.4→199.9
Auto21.4
Teleop143.2
End37.5
red by 9.2
2811
#48
193.80.2
194.2→194.0
Auto22.3
Teleop154.2
End18.3
Second
2557
#1
185.40.6
181.4→181.9
Auto22.3
Teleop142.0
End23.1
red by 23.7
6831
#21
161.70.3
161.2→161.5
Auto20.2
Teleop119.2
End27.6
Third
1778
#31
155.70.1
156.0→155.8
Auto17.6
Teleop124.1
End12.0
red by 4.7
5468
#11
151.00.7
149.7→150.4
Auto18.7
Teleop113.4
End21.3