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Red296
2976157.9
2147150.4
5920156.9
Blue405
4512135.9
997151.8
2928145.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327347150200250300400450500550296405

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2976
#38
157.90.2
157.3157.5
Auto19.6
Teleop123.7
End11.1
red by 6.1
997
#36
151.81.1
150.7151.8
Auto17.5
Teleop117.3
End19.8
Second
5920
#45
156.91.1
158.7157.6
Auto22.8
Teleop115.4
End19.6
red by 11.8
2928
#17
145.20.7
144.4145.2
Auto22.7
Teleop102.6
End21.4
Third
2147
#59
150.40.3
150.7150.4
Auto20.6
Teleop122.1
End10.4
red by 14.5
4512
#28
135.91.1
134.8135.9
Auto19.4
Teleop101.6
End18.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsEarned79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed