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Red406
2471203.0
2521138.9
3674160.7
Blue229
6845133.0
4488186.4
6445139.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions412279100200500600700800406229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203.02.6
186.8189.4
Auto21.4
Teleop143.2
End37.5
red by 16.6
186.41.2
170.2171.4
Auto22.2
Teleop132.1
End33.6
Second
3674
#27
160.71.2
164.1165.3
Auto17.4
Teleop113.4
End28.4
red by 21.2
6445
#46
139.50.5
137.6138.1
Auto16.3
Teleop111.5
End12.6
Third
2521
#18
138.90.7
129.0129.6
Auto17.1
Teleop108.2
End18.4
red by 5.9
6845
#49
133.01.0
122.1123.0
Auto17.1
Teleop103.3
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsEarned55%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
34%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed