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Red280
2930166.5
1510145.2
3663161.7
Blue239
2976157.9
4911180.6
3826146.8
42%Model gave it58%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325345200300400500280239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2930
#35
166.50.7
162.1162.8
Auto22.1
Teleop121.2
End25.0
blue by 14.0
4911
#15
180.60.1
177.5177.6
Auto20.3
Teleop137.4
End22.7
Second
3663
#24
161.70.8
152.6153.4
Auto17.6
Teleop122.1
End22.9
red by 3.9
2976
#38
157.90.3
150.6150.8
Auto19.6
Teleop123.7
End11.1
Third
1510
#23
145.20.6
139.4139.9
Auto19.1
Teleop103.4
End25.0
blue by 1.5
3826
#52
146.81.5
136.2137.7
Auto16.8
Teleop114.3
End19.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned66%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed