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Red363
3223144.1
4061148.1
4488186.4
Blue327
6831161.7
3826146.8
997151.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331328250300350400450363327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.40.3
181.4181.6
Auto22.2
Teleop132.1
End33.6
red by 24.6
6831
#21
161.71.0
158.1159.1
Auto20.2
Teleop119.2
End27.6
Second
4061
#26
148.10.1
147.6147.6
Auto24.8
Teleop109.6
End12.8
blue by 3.7
997
#36
151.81.4
147.8149.2
Auto17.5
Teleop117.3
End19.8
Third
144.11.1
139.0140.1
Auto20.8
Teleop110.9
End11.9
blue by 2.6
3826
#52
146.80.6
144.5145.1
Auto16.8
Teleop114.3
End19.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsEarned67%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsEarned