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Red253
4450172.4
3238148.2
2733142.8
Blue485
2930166.5
360179.6
2522165.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311417100200500600700253485

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4450
#33
172.40.3
172.1172.4
Auto18.8
Teleop128.4
End26.9
blue by 7.2
360
#9
179.60.7
177.7178.4
Auto24.2
Teleop135.8
End19.8
Second
3238
#42
148.21.5
154.4152.9
Auto24.3
Teleop104.0
End17.8
blue by 18.3
2930
#35
166.50.4
165.2165.6
Auto22.1
Teleop121.2
End25.0
Third
2733
#37
142.80.1
142.7142.6
Auto19.7
Teleop109.1
End17.4
blue by 22.7
2522
#20
165.51.4
167.9166.5
Auto24.2
Teleop124.3
End17.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed