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Red315
2471203.0
6445139.5
957169.5
Blue435
1318203.5
7034147.4
4513189.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions360354100200300400500600315435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203.00.7
196.7197.4
Auto21.4
Teleop143.2
End37.5
blue by 0.4
203.51.0
205.6204.6
Auto23.3
Teleop146.1
End33.7
Second
957
#19
169.50.7
170.3169.7
Auto21.0
Teleop132.0
End13.4
blue by 19.4
4513
#10
189.01.1
190.6189.5
Auto21.8
Teleop138.3
End26.1
Third
6445
#46
139.50.9
140.6139.7
Auto16.3
Teleop111.5
End12.6
blue by 7.8
7034
#25
147.40.2
146.3146.4
Auto21.2
Teleop99.2
End22.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
36%Face the Boss oddsEarned28%Face the Boss oddsEarned