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Red378
2557185.4
6443124.4
4512135.9
Blue299
492143.3
4980167.1
948154.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions316333150200250350400450500378299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
185.40.7
178.0178.6
Auto22.3
Teleop142.0
End23.1
red by 18.4
4980
#30
167.10.1
167.3167.4
Auto23.4
Teleop125.0
End20.6
Second
4512
#28
135.90.6
133.1133.7
Auto19.4
Teleop101.6
End18.2
blue by 18.2
948
#29
154.10.6
156.6156.0
Auto21.4
Teleop116.7
End12.3
Third
6443
#32
124.40.9
125.0124.2
Auto17.8
Teleop92.8
End13.3
blue by 18.9
492
#55
143.31.0
145.6144.7
Auto21.5
Teleop104.9
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed