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Red374
488166.2
1359112.7
1425207.6
Blue274
3663161.7
4915156.9
6076125.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3942850100200500600700374274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
207.60.8
207.6208.4
Auto20.6
Teleop146.5
End39.1
red by 45.8
3663
#24
161.71.4
157.7159.1
Auto17.6
Teleop122.1
End22.9
Second
488
#51
166.20.4
165.1165.5
Auto20.8
Teleop132.2
End10.0
red by 9.2
4915
#47
156.90.6
155.6156.2
Auto23.3
Teleop112.1
End20.7
Third
1359
#64
112.70.6
112.5111.9
Auto16.2
Teleop86.3
End12.0
blue by 12.6
6076
#50
125.30.6
126.1125.5
Auto16.9
Teleop92.6
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest oddsEarned77%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
43%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed