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Red387
3218179.9
294499.6
2046218.0
Blue365
2976157.9
1778155.7
2374134.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions370288100200500600700387365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
218.00.7
215.9216.5
Auto25.2
Teleop162.6
End29.8
red by 60.1
2976
#38
157.91.7
154.9156.6
Auto19.6
Teleop123.7
End11.1
Second
3218
#13
179.90.2
179.3179.6
Auto20.1
Teleop136.6
End23.3
red by 24.2
1778
#31
155.70.2
157.7157.6
Auto17.6
Teleop124.1
End12.0
Third
2944
#63
99.61.0
102.3101.4
Auto18.5
Teleop74.5
End6.8
blue by 34.8
2374
#56
134.40.2
137.7137.4
Auto21.2
Teleop101.8
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsMissed86%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed