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Red311
2811193.8
4131141.5
847153.2
Blue324
2147150.4
4662123.4
2990180.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3832840100200500600311324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2811
#48
193.80.5
195.8195.4
Auto22.3
Teleop154.2
End18.3
red by 12.8
2990
#39
180.90.5
181.1181.6
Auto29.5
Teleop138.5
End9.0
Second
847
#22
153.21.3
149.5150.8
Auto20.4
Teleop113.7
End20.3
red by 2.8
2147
#59
150.40.5
151.2150.7
Auto20.6
Teleop122.1
End10.4
Third
4131
#40
141.50.9
138.9139.8
Auto16.2
Teleop97.6
End29.0
red by 18.1
4662
#61
123.43.9
131.5127.7
Auto17.3
Teleop95.3
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsEarned87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed