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Red396
1983168.7
1540149.4
4125128.9
Blue319
1595147.4
6845133.0
2635155.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33231002004006008001,0001,200396319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1983
#14
168.70.7
164.5165.2
Auto16.2
Teleop135.1
End16.0
red by 12.9
2635
#60
155.90.9
158.6157.7
Auto21.0
Teleop125.1
End8.8
Second
1540
#57
149.40.8
150.3149.5
Auto19.8
Teleop121.8
End7.6
red by 2.0
1595
#53
147.41.4
144.0145.4
Auto18.5
Teleop106.9
End23.5
Third
4125
#62
128.90.5
126.8127.2
Auto16.7
Teleop99.3
End11.9
blue by 4.0
6845
#49
133.01.1
129.9131.0
Auto17.1
Teleop103.3
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed