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Red267
488166.2
6465125.4
2990180.9
Blue349
4061148.1
1425207.6
2976157.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289377100200500600700267349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2990
#39
180.90.8
181.6182.4
Auto29.5
Teleop138.5
End9.0
blue by 26.6
207.60.9
208.4209.3
Auto20.6
Teleop146.5
End39.1
Second
488
#51
166.20.6
165.5166.1
Auto20.8
Teleop132.2
End10.0
red by 8.3
2976
#38
157.90.7
156.6157.3
Auto19.6
Teleop123.7
End11.1
Third
6465
#43
125.40.4
126.7126.3
Auto18.1
Teleop91.6
End11.8
blue by 22.7
4061
#26
148.10.5
147.6148.1
Auto24.8
Teleop109.6
End12.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned86%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed56%Face the Boss oddsMissed