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Red190
294499.6
2635155.9
3238148.2
Blue391
2928145.2
2557185.4
4131141.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2524090100200300500600700190391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2635
#60
155.90.6
157.7157.2
Auto21.0
Teleop125.1
End8.8
blue by 29.6
185.41.2
178.6179.8
Auto22.3
Teleop142.0
End23.1
Second
3238
#42
148.20.8
151.4150.6
Auto24.3
Teleop104.0
End17.8
red by 3.1
2928
#17
145.20.2
144.2144.4
Auto22.7
Teleop102.6
End21.4
Third
2944
#63
99.60.1
100.5100.5
Auto18.5
Teleop74.5
End6.8
blue by 41.9
4131
#40
141.50.6
139.8140.4
Auto16.2
Teleop97.6
End29.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsMissed78%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsEarned