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Red375
4469151.2
2733142.8
2906130.1
Blue268
6831161.7
1540149.4
1778155.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2723590100200400500600375268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4469
#41
151.20.8
151.8151.1
Auto16.6
Teleop111.3
End22.9
blue by 10.5
6831
#21
161.71.2
159.1160.4
Auto20.2
Teleop119.2
End27.6
Second
2733
#37
142.80.3
142.6142.3
Auto19.7
Teleop109.1
End17.4
blue by 12.9
1778
#31
155.70.8
157.6156.8
Auto17.6
Teleop124.1
End12.0
Third
2906
#58
130.11.5
132.1130.6
Auto17.2
Teleop96.2
End14.3
blue by 19.3
1540
#57
149.40.0
149.5149.5
Auto19.8
Teleop121.8
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsEarned82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed