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Red251
948154.1
1359112.7
4061148.1
Blue319
294499.6
1318203.5
1540149.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3003300200400600800251319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
948
#29
154.11.3
155.4154.1
Auto21.4
Teleop116.7
End12.3
blue by 49.4
203.50.6
204.3203.7
Auto23.3
Teleop146.1
End33.7
Second
4061
#26
148.10.0
148.1148.1
Auto24.8
Teleop109.6
End12.8
blue by 1.3
1540
#57
149.40.1
149.5149.4
Auto19.8
Teleop121.8
End7.6
Third
1359
#64
112.70.5
112.2112.7
Auto16.2
Teleop86.3
End12.0
red by 13.1
2944
#63
99.60.9
100.599.6
Auto18.5
Teleop74.5
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed