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Red274
2521138.9
1510145.2
2635155.9
Blue413
2910211.6
3223144.1
6465125.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2673760100200300500600700274413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2635
#60
155.91.3
157.2155.9
Auto21.0
Teleop125.1
End8.8
blue by 55.8
2910
#12
211.60.4
210.7211.2
Auto20.9
Teleop161.3
End27.1
Second
1510
#23
145.20.4
144.9145.2
Auto19.1
Teleop103.4
End25.0
red by 1.1
144.11.6
141.4143.0
Auto20.8
Teleop110.9
End11.9
Third
2521
#18
138.92.0
136.9138.9
Auto17.1
Teleop108.2
End18.4
red by 13.5
6465
#43
125.40.8
126.3125.4
Auto18.1
Teleop91.6
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
20%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed