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Red371
1595147.4
3238148.2
3223144.1
Blue324
2733142.8
948154.1
3674160.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294387100200500600371324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3238
#42
148.20.4
153.1152.7
Auto24.3
Teleop104.0
End17.8
blue by 12.5
3674
#27
160.70.2
166.2166.0
Auto17.4
Teleop113.4
End28.4
Second
1595
#53
147.40.9
136.9137.8
Auto18.5
Teleop106.9
End23.5
blue by 6.7
948
#29
154.12.3
151.1153.4
Auto21.4
Teleop116.7
End12.3
Third
144.10.9
131.7132.6
Auto20.8
Teleop110.9
End11.9
red by 1.3
2733
#37
142.80.1
145.1145.2
Auto19.7
Teleop109.1
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsEarned66%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsEarned7%Face the Boss oddsMissed