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Red296
4512135.9
2910211.6
294499.6
Blue481
2906130.1
1983168.7
2930166.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31933905001,0001,5002,0002,5003,000296481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2910
#12
211.61.1
204.7205.8
Auto20.9
Teleop161.3
End27.1
red by 42.9
1983
#14
168.70.4
164.3164.6
Auto16.2
Teleop135.1
End16.0
Second
4512
#28
135.90.5
128.3128.8
Auto19.4
Teleop101.6
End18.2
blue by 30.7
2930
#35
166.50.1
163.3163.4
Auto22.1
Teleop121.2
End25.0
Third
2944
#63
99.60.9
107.6106.7
Auto18.5
Teleop74.5
End6.8
blue by 30.5
2906
#58
130.11.6
138.4136.8
Auto17.2
Teleop96.2
End14.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsEarned74%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed