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Red307
1425207.6
492143.3
2635155.9
Blue362
3238148.2
6831161.7
1318203.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37535402006008001,0001,200307362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
207.61.3
202.2203.5
Auto20.6
Teleop146.5
End39.1
red by 4.1
203.50.8
202.6203.4
Auto23.3
Teleop146.1
End33.7
Second
2635
#60
155.90.9
165.9165.0
Auto21.0
Teleop125.1
End8.8
blue by 5.9
6831
#21
161.70.7
154.5155.2
Auto20.2
Teleop119.2
End27.6
Third
492
#55
143.31.7
151.3149.6
Auto21.5
Teleop104.9
End14.8
blue by 5.0
3238
#42
148.20.4
152.7153.1
Auto24.3
Teleop104.0
End17.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
47%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed