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Red343
1595147.4
5450139.0
2521138.9
Blue384
2928145.2
3663161.7
488166.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275375100200500600343384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1595
#53
147.41.5
137.8139.3
Auto18.5
Teleop106.9
End23.5
blue by 18.8
488
#51
166.21.0
166.8165.8
Auto20.8
Teleop132.2
End10.0
Second
5450
#16
139.01.2
131.1132.3
Auto21.4
Teleop98.9
End21.4
blue by 22.8
3663
#24
161.70.3
154.7155.0
Auto17.6
Teleop122.1
End22.9
Third
2521
#18
138.90.1
132.0132.0
Auto17.1
Teleop108.2
End18.4
blue by 6.3
2928
#17
145.20.3
142.9143.1
Auto22.7
Teleop102.6
End21.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsEarned77%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed