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Red167
4980167.1
957169.5
294499.6
Blue275
6465125.4
1595147.4
4450172.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions387303200500600700167275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
957
#19
169.51.9
172.7174.6
Auto21.0
Teleop132.0
End13.4
blue by 2.9
4450
#33
172.40.2
168.5168.7
Auto18.8
Teleop128.4
End26.9
Second
4980
#30
167.11.3
172.0173.3
Auto23.4
Teleop125.0
End20.6
red by 19.7
1595
#53
147.41.3
134.0135.3
Auto18.5
Teleop106.9
End23.5
Third
2944
#63
99.60.1
110.3110.2
Auto18.5
Teleop74.5
End6.8
blue by 25.8
6465
#43
125.40.9
130.6129.6
Auto18.1
Teleop91.6
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned71%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed