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Red191
5803186.0
2928145.2
6443124.4
Blue420
4061148.1
4662123.4
2910211.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282391100200500600700191420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.00.4
182.7183.1
Auto23.6
Teleop131.9
End31.4
blue by 25.7
2910
#12
211.61.8
199.2201.0
Auto20.9
Teleop161.3
End27.1
Second
2928
#17
145.21.1
139.7140.9
Auto22.7
Teleop102.6
End21.4
blue by 2.9
4061
#26
148.10.5
155.3154.8
Auto24.8
Teleop109.6
End12.8
Third
6443
#32
124.40.0
135.7135.8
Auto17.8
Teleop92.8
End13.3
red by 1.0
4662
#61
123.40.1
142.7142.9
Auto17.3
Teleop95.3
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsEarned8%Face the Boss oddsMissed