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Red420
1318203.5
2976157.9
5450139.0
Blue227
2605142.5
5803186.0
2733142.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions359352250300400420227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203.50.7
203.4204.1
Auto23.3
Teleop146.1
End33.7
red by 17.5
186.00.7
185.0185.7
Auto23.6
Teleop131.9
End31.4
Second
2976
#38
157.90.5
151.1151.6
Auto19.6
Teleop123.7
End11.1
red by 15.1
2733
#37
142.80.6
145.2145.8
Auto19.7
Teleop109.1
End17.4
Third
5450
#16
139.01.2
132.3133.6
Auto21.4
Teleop98.9
End21.4
blue by 3.6
2605
#54
142.50.6
148.2147.6
Auto19.8
Teleop103.0
End19.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned97%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsEarned15%Face the Boss oddsMissed