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Red350
3238148.2
847153.2
360179.6
Blue205
2906130.1
5920156.9
957169.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354351250300400450350205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#9
179.61.2
174.5175.6
Auto24.2
Teleop135.8
End19.8
red by 10.1
957
#19
169.50.3
173.4173.1
Auto21.0
Teleop132.0
End13.4
Second
847
#22
153.20.4
147.4147.8
Auto20.4
Teleop113.7
End20.3
blue by 3.8
5920
#45
156.90.4
163.2163.6
Auto22.8
Teleop115.4
End19.6
Third
3238
#42
148.20.3
153.1153.5
Auto24.3
Teleop104.0
End17.8
red by 18.2
2906
#58
130.10.0
135.7135.8
Auto17.2
Teleop96.2
End14.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned95%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed