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Red278
2635155.9
2930166.5
4980167.1
Blue413
3674160.7
488166.2
5468151.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions359320100200400500600278413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4980
#30
167.10.4
168.2167.8
Auto23.4
Teleop125.0
End20.6
red by 0.9
488
#51
166.20.5
165.1164.6
Auto20.8
Teleop132.2
End10.0
Second
2930
#35
166.50.2
165.1165.3
Auto22.1
Teleop121.2
End25.0
red by 5.8
3674
#27
160.71.5
162.9161.4
Auto17.4
Teleop113.4
End28.4
Third
2635
#60
155.91.8
162.1160.3
Auto21.0
Teleop125.1
End8.8
red by 4.8
5468
#11
151.00.7
141.3142.0
Auto18.7
Teleop113.4
End21.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned70%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsMissed