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Red431
4125128.9
2976157.9
4512135.9
Blue75
4662123.4
2522165.5
3238148.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions298366010020050060070080043175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2976
#38
157.91.0
152.5153.4
Auto19.6
Teleop123.7
End11.1
blue by 7.6
2522
#20
165.50.3
170.3170.0
Auto24.2
Teleop124.3
End17.5
Second
4512
#28
135.91.1
130.4131.5
Auto19.4
Teleop101.6
End18.2
blue by 12.4
3238
#42
148.20.5
153.9154.4
Auto24.3
Teleop104.0
End17.8
Third
4125
#62
128.90.2
126.4126.2
Auto16.7
Teleop99.3
End11.9
red by 5.6
4662
#61
123.42.5
137.9135.4
Auto17.3
Teleop95.3
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsEarned86%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed