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Red374
997151.8
4131141.5
3223144.1
Blue311
4911180.6
360179.6
6845133.0
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2873830100200500600700374311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
997
#36
151.80.2
146.7146.8
Auto17.5
Teleop117.3
End19.8
blue by 28.8
4911
#15
180.60.2
177.8178.0
Auto20.3
Teleop137.4
End22.7
Second
144.10.9
136.6137.5
Auto20.8
Teleop110.9
End11.9
blue by 35.5
360
#9
179.60.6
176.7177.3
Auto24.2
Teleop135.8
End19.8
Third
4131
#40
141.50.4
137.3137.8
Auto16.2
Teleop97.6
End29.0
red by 8.5
6845
#49
133.01.2
127.8128.9
Auto17.1
Teleop103.3
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsEarned87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed