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Red216
1318203.5
3218179.9
492143.3
Blue427
2811193.8
2910211.6
1595147.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3403970100200300500600700800216427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203.50.7
205.2205.9
Auto23.3
Teleop146.1
End33.7
blue by 8.2
2910
#12
211.60.7
207.4208.1
Auto20.9
Teleop161.3
End27.1
Second
3218
#13
179.90.5
179.2179.8
Auto20.1
Teleop136.6
End23.3
blue by 13.9
2811
#48
193.81.1
197.5196.4
Auto22.3
Teleop154.2
End18.3
Third
492
#55
143.30.6
147.5146.9
Auto21.5
Teleop104.9
End14.8
blue by 4.1
1595
#53
147.41.0
141.8142.9
Auto18.5
Teleop106.9
End23.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsEarned76%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed