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Red279
6443124.4
957169.5
7034147.4
Blue431
1425207.6
2733142.8
2928145.2
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304377100200500600279431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
957
#19
169.50.6
171.9171.3
Auto21.0
Teleop132.0
End13.4
blue by 38.1
207.61.2
205.3206.5
Auto20.6
Teleop146.5
End39.1
Second
7034
#25
147.40.3
146.3146.6
Auto21.2
Teleop99.2
End22.7
red by 2.2
2928
#17
145.20.5
143.2143.6
Auto22.7
Teleop102.6
End21.4
Third
6443
#32
124.40.8
126.9126.2
Auto17.8
Teleop92.8
End13.3
blue by 18.4
2733
#37
142.81.5
145.2143.7
Auto19.7
Teleop109.1
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
36%Face the Boss oddsMissed36%Face the Boss oddsEarned