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Red206
2374134.4
5803186.0
3024136.8
Blue427
1983168.7
4488186.4
6465125.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions308372100200500600700206427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.00.7
185.2184.5
Auto23.6
Teleop131.9
End31.4
blue by 0.4
186.41.1
179.0180.1
Auto22.2
Teleop132.1
End33.6
Second
3024
#34
136.81.4
131.1132.5
Auto22.4
Teleop96.7
End17.8
blue by 32.0
1983
#14
168.71.1
166.1165.0
Auto16.2
Teleop135.1
End16.0
Third
2374
#56
134.40.4
138.9138.5
Auto21.2
Teleop101.8
End8.2
red by 8.9
6465
#43
125.40.2
125.4125.7
Auto18.1
Teleop91.6
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
98%Auto Quest oddsEarned73%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed