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Red311
1359112.7
6845133.0
2522165.5
Blue363
5450139.0
2557185.4
360179.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2404040100200300500600700311363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2522
#20
165.52.2
170.0167.9
Auto24.2
Teleop124.3
End17.5
blue by 19.9
185.40.4
177.6178.0
Auto22.3
Teleop142.0
End23.1
Second
6845
#49
133.00.9
128.9129.9
Auto17.1
Teleop103.3
End14.8
blue by 46.6
360
#9
179.60.4
177.3177.7
Auto24.2
Teleop135.8
End19.8
Third
1359
#64
112.71.2
113.7112.5
Auto16.2
Teleop86.3
End12.0
blue by 26.3
5450
#16
139.00.1
135.1135.2
Auto21.4
Teleop98.9
End21.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsEarned93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsEarned