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Red247
1318203.5
4512135.9
6445139.5
Blue404
997151.8
1778155.7
4915156.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3593200100200400500600247404

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203.50.3
205.9205.6
Auto23.3
Teleop146.1
End33.7
red by 46.5
4915
#47
156.90.0
155.6155.6
Auto23.3
Teleop112.1
End20.7
Second
6445
#46
139.50.3
141.0140.6
Auto16.3
Teleop111.5
End12.6
blue by 16.2
1778
#31
155.71.0
158.7157.7
Auto17.6
Teleop124.1
End12.0
Third
4512
#28DQ
135.91.6
131.5133.1
Auto19.4
Teleop101.6
End18.2
blue by 15.9
997
#36
151.81.0
146.8147.8
Auto17.5
Teleop117.3
End19.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned81%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed