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Red308
2605142.5
2928145.2
2046218.0
Blue410
6831161.7
3218179.9
4980167.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions369354100200300400500600308410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
218.01.3
214.6215.9
Auto25.2
Teleop162.6
End29.8
red by 38.0
3218
#13
179.90.4
179.8179.3
Auto20.1
Teleop136.6
End23.3
Second
2928
#17
145.20.5
143.6144.2
Auto22.7
Teleop102.6
End21.4
blue by 21.9
4980
#30
167.10.5
167.8167.3
Auto23.4
Teleop125.0
End20.6
Third
2605
#54
142.50.2
145.2145.0
Auto19.8
Teleop103.0
End19.2
blue by 19.2
6831
#21
161.70.6
157.5158.1
Auto20.2
Teleop119.2
End27.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
33%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed