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Red438
359181.1
3990186.3
6869146.2
Blue347
1772165.2
5528166.5
5443109.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions400330200300500600438347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.30.6
185.2185.8
Auto28.8
Teleop131.0
End23.8
red by 19.9
166.50.8
165.1165.9
Auto23.0
Teleop117.3
End25.1
Second
359
#2
181.10.5
180.2180.7
Auto24.2
Teleop127.7
End26.9
red by 16.0
165.21.2
163.1164.2
Auto20.3
Teleop123.2
End19.9
Third
6869
#13
146.20.2
145.8146.0
Auto16.5
Teleop112.4
End14.3
red by 36.7
5443
#49
109.50.3
109.0109.3
Auto14.5
Teleop74.6
End21.2