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Red1
359181.1
3990186.3
6869146.2
Blue0
1772165.2
5528166.5
5443109.5
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions402326010020050060010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.30.6
185.8186.3
Auto28.8
Teleop131.0
End23.8
red by 19.9
166.50.6
165.9166.5
Auto23.0
Teleop117.3
End25.1
Second
359
#2
181.10.5
180.7181.1
Auto24.2
Teleop127.7
End26.9
red by 16.0
165.21.0
164.2165.2
Auto20.3
Teleop123.2
End19.9
Third
6869
#13
146.20.2
146.0146.2
Auto16.5
Teleop112.4
End14.3
red by 36.7
5443
#49
109.50.2
109.3109.5
Auto14.5
Teleop74.6
End21.2