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Red415
359181.1
3990186.3
6869146.2
Blue274
5179127.6
5910148.8
5439147.8
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions418325200300500600415274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.31.6
178.8180.5
Auto28.8
Teleop131.0
End23.8
red by 37.5
5910
#11
148.81.1
146.8147.9
Auto20.0
Teleop108.2
End21.1
Second
359
#2
181.11.5
174.4175.9
Auto24.2
Teleop127.7
End26.9
red by 33.3
5439
#16
147.81.4
145.2146.6
Auto16.7
Teleop109.2
End25.0
Third
6869
#13
146.21.0
142.3143.2
Auto16.5
Teleop112.4
End14.3
red by 18.5
5179
#20
127.61.2
125.4126.6
Auto13.2
Teleop94.4
End22.8