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Red366
359181.1
3990186.3
6869146.2
Blue317
7116130.3
3360156.4
6823144.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions439295100200400500600700366317

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.31.3
182.0183.3
Auto28.8
Teleop131.0
End23.8
red by 30.0
156.40.2
156.0156.2
Auto20.7
Teleop113.3
End23.5
Second
359
#2
181.11.2
177.3178.5
Auto24.2
Teleop127.7
End26.9
red by 36.7
6823
#18
144.40.4
143.7144.0
Auto16.1
Teleop112.5
End14.9
Third
6869
#13
146.20.8
144.1144.9
Auto16.5
Teleop112.4
End14.3
red by 15.8
7116
#27
130.30.3
129.8130.0
Auto13.4
Teleop97.4
End19.2