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Red371
359181.1
3990186.3
6869146.2
Blue222
5179127.6
5910148.8
5439147.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions421320200500600371222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.31.5
180.5182.0
Auto28.8
Teleop131.0
End23.8
red by 37.5
5910
#11
148.80.9
147.9148.8
Auto20.0
Teleop108.2
End21.1
Second
359
#2
181.11.4
175.9177.3
Auto24.2
Teleop127.7
End26.9
red by 33.3
5439
#16
147.81.2
146.6147.8
Auto16.7
Teleop109.2
End25.0
Third
6869
#13
146.20.9
143.2144.1
Auto16.5
Teleop112.4
End14.3
red by 18.5
5179
#20
127.61.0
126.6127.6
Auto13.2
Teleop94.4
End22.8