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Red173
7116130.3
3360156.4
6823144.4
Blue406
5618143.4
4947135.9
3117112.8
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions360287100200400500600173406

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156.40.4
155.3155.6
Auto20.7
Teleop113.3
End23.5
red by 12.9
143.40.2
142.4142.7
Auto16.5
Teleop113.8
End14.5
Second
6823
#18
144.40.7
142.2142.9
Auto16.1
Teleop112.5
End14.9
red by 8.5
135.90.8
133.2134.0
Auto19.5
Teleop98.4
End21.1
Third
7116
#27
130.30.6
128.6129.2
Auto13.4
Teleop97.4
End19.2
red by 17.5
3117
#47
112.80.5
111.0111.5
Auto17.1
Teleop84.1
End13.8