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Red381
3996127.3
7162140.2
3386136.4
Blue267
5865131.8
6929115.4
4952137.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions329302100200400500600381267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
140.20.7
137.2137.9
Auto19.4
Teleop100.7
End25.2
red by 2.9
4952
#28
137.21.0
135.4136.4
Auto17.2
Teleop99.7
End23.0
Second
3386
#19
136.40.0
135.9135.8
Auto19.2
Teleop102.6
End16.7
red by 4.6
5865
#29
131.80.7
130.5131.2
Auto18.8
Teleop95.9
End23.1
Third
3996
#22
127.30.7
124.1124.8
Auto14.2
Teleop96.3
End22.0
red by 11.9
115.41.4
112.8114.2
Auto16.8
Teleop90.1
End14.2