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Red358
3996127.3
7162140.2
3386136.4
Blue325
5865131.8
6929115.4
4952137.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions339297100200400500358325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
140.20.7
137.9138.6
Auto19.4
Teleop100.7
End25.2
red by 2.9
4952
#28
137.20.9
136.4137.2
Auto17.2
Teleop99.7
End23.0
Second
3386
#19
136.40.1
135.8136.0
Auto19.2
Teleop102.6
End16.7
red by 4.6
5865
#29
131.80.6
131.2131.8
Auto18.8
Teleop95.9
End23.1
Third
3996
#22
127.30.8
124.8125.6
Auto14.2
Teleop96.3
End22.0
red by 11.9
115.41.2
114.2115.4
Auto16.8
Teleop90.1
End14.2