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Red415
3990186.3
1772165.2
5865131.8
Blue258
3550129.2
5570102.7
4957109.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3792100100300500600700415258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.39.0
136.4145.4
Auto28.8
Teleop131.0
End23.8
red by 57.1
3550
#41
129.23.4
113.0116.4
Auto14.7
Teleop100.1
End15.0
Second
165.26.9
119.2126.1
Auto20.3
Teleop123.2
End19.9
red by 55.3
4957
#40
109.93.8
98.1101.9
Auto13.0
Teleop81.6
End17.9
Third
5865
#29
131.83.7
113.7117.4
Auto18.8
Teleop95.9
End23.1
red by 29.1
5570
#50
102.76.1
94.5100.7
Auto11.4
Teleop79.2
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsEarned19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed