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Red284
6869146.2
5553134.7
6851125.3
Blue300
3533113.1
3386136.4
3387113.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions299257100200400500284300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6869
#13
146.29.2
104.6113.7
Auto16.5
Teleop112.4
End14.3
red by 9.7
3386
#19
136.44.9
119.9124.8
Auto19.2
Teleop102.6
End16.7
Second
5553
#44
134.76.0
110.1116.1
Auto15.6
Teleop103.5
End15.2
red by 21.0
3387
#46
113.86.2
94.0100.2
Auto12.1
Teleop89.6
End11.7
Third
6851
#14
125.37.2
98.1105.3
Auto16.9
Teleop93.5
End18.8
red by 12.2
3533
#33
113.14.3
104.4108.7
Auto14.4
Teleop89.4
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsEarned19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed