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Red293
5179127.6
4957109.9
3996127.3
Blue194
4594112.7
5553134.7
5952111.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271275200220240260300320340293194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5179
#20
127.617.2
63.981.1
Auto13.2
Teleop94.4
End22.8
blue by 7.1
5553
#44
134.715.6
78.093.7
Auto15.6
Teleop103.5
End15.2
Second
3996
#22
127.315.2
82.197.2
Auto14.2
Teleop96.3
End22.0
red by 14.6
4594
#23
112.717.8
58.876.6
Auto14.3
Teleop84.3
End18.3
Third
4957
#40
109.917.3
62.880.1
Auto13.0
Teleop81.6
End17.9
blue by 1.5
5952
#53DQ
111.415.9
75.091.0
Auto11.9
Teleop87.9
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed