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Red172
6902125.0
5570102.7
654195.7
Blue323
11130.4
2626115.4
6823144.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2303050100400500600700172323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6902
#17
125.037.4
115.277.7
Auto15.6
Teleop89.4
End17.7
blue by 19.5
6823
#18
144.466.2
144.077.7
Auto16.1
Teleop112.5
End14.9
Second
5570
#50
102.718.0
56.974.9
Auto11.4
Teleop79.2
End11.6
blue by 27.7
11
#34
130.413.8
95.1108.9
Auto15.1
Teleop99.9
End14.8
Third
6541
#55
95.718.1
56.274.3
Auto11.7
Teleop75.6
End9.1
blue by 19.7
2626
#26
115.416.1
73.389.4
Auto15.2
Teleop93.0
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed